No matter what the semantic arguments are (QE, not QE, reverse QT…), the hard reality is that $400B of encumbered assets were added to the Fed’s books at par, and an equal amount of unencumbered money (liquidity) was released into the economy. This was not money-printing. This was not a gift. This was a swap of assets (like QE): paper assets for liquid assets. No argument that I have heard can deny that reality. Call it what you like, but it is a huge asset swap that releases these funds into the economy.
Our liquidity model captured the Fed’s ‘at-par’ collateral-lending.
In addition to the Fed’s liquidity-releasing swap, the Treasury’s spending net-transferred +$75B to the private sector last week. The 20-day average transfer rate is +$9B/day.
Even with all the doom and gloom, the market is staying afloat…becasue it is all-about-the fund-flows!
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