Liquidity Breakout and the Restart of QE

$300B addition to the Fed’s balance sheet (SOMA). The biggest and most sudden QE since the pandemic. This increase in liquidity is bullish.

Our liquidity model agrees.

Wednesday’s small corporate tax-take (30% smaller than last year’s), and the big SS payment combined to produce a net-transfer of +$24B and a 20-day average of +$15.42B/day.

The BB-width model is moving into a bullish period.

QQQ has made a breakout. There are a couple of resistance levels overhead that could cause it to take a break around the tax-take in April. However, with the growth of liquidity we are seeing, the market might not pullback as much as we were expecting.

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